由新比旧好元件组成的指数寿命系统的特性研究

文中研究了由独立的新比旧好元件组成的指数寿命系统,证明了:(i)对单调系统,它本质上是由指数寿命的元件串联而成;(ii)对系统的寿命是元件寿命的情形,除了一个元件是指数的外,其余元件的寿命分布均在零处退化。     

Signal‐to‐interference‐plus‐noise ratio estimation for wireless communication systems: Methods and analysis

The Signal‐to‐Interference‐plus‐Noise Ratio (SINR) is an important metric of wireless communication link quality. SINR estimates have several important applications. These include optimizing the transmit power level for a target quality of service, assisting with handoff decisions and dynamically adapting the data rate for wireless Internet applications. Accurate SINR estimation provides for both a more efficient system and a higher user‐perceived quality of service. In this paper, we develop new SINR estimators and compare their mean squared error (MSE) performance. We show that our new estimators dominate estimators that have previously appeared in the literature with respect to MSE. The sequence of transmitted bits in wireless communication systems consists of both pilot bits (which are known both to the transmitter and receiver) and user bits (which are known only by the transmitter). The SINR estimators we consider alternatively depend exclusively on pilot bits, exclusively on user bits, or simultaneously use both pilot and user bits. In addition, we consider estimators that utilize smoothing and feedback mechanisms. Smoothed estimators are motivated by the fact that the interference component of the SINR changes relatively slowly with time, typically with the addition or departure of a user to the system. Feedback estimators are motivated by the fact that receivers typically decode bits correctly with a very high probability, and therefore user bits can be thought of as quasipilot bits. For each estimator discussed, we derive an exact or approximate formula for its MSE. Satterthwaite approximations, noncentral F distributions (singly and doubly) and distribution theory of quadratic forms are the key statistical tools used in developing the MSE formulas. In the case of approximate MSE formulas, we validate their accuracy using simulation techniques. The approximate MSE formulas, of interest in their own right for comparing the quality of the estimators, are also used for optimally combining estimators. In particular, we derive optimal weights for linearly combining an estimator based on pilot bits with an estimator based on user bits. The optimal weights depend on the MSE of the two estimators being combined, and thus the accurate approximate MSE formulas can conveniently be used. The optimal weights also depend on the unknown SINR, and therefore need to be estimated in order to construct a useable combined estimator. The impact on the MSE of the combined estimator due to estimating the weights is examined. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

在柴油机放热曲线计算中两个关键问题的解决方法

对影响柴油机放热曲线精度计算的因素进行了讨论 ,并对影响放热率计算的主要问题如动态上止点修正、示功图光顺处理两个主要环节进行了分析研究 ,提出了解决方法 .     

寿命试验持续时间的预测

工程界中诸多电子元器件的寿命都可以看作或近似看作是服从指数分布的,只有经寿命试验掌握各类电子元器件寿命的分布情况,才能对整个电子系统的可靠度有较充分的认识,从而对整个电子系统中的电子设备进行合理布局,优化控制,使其在实际应用中最大程度地发挥其作用。分别给出服从单参数指数分布的样本在寿命试验的早期结果上预测寿命试验的总持续时间的精确与近似方法的证明,并对两种预测方法在不同情况下的预测结果进行比较。     

Global planning of accelerated degradation tests based on exponential dispersion degradation models

The accelerated degradation test (ADT) is an efficient tool for assessing the lifetime information of highly reliable products. However, conducting an ADT is very expensive. Therefore, how to conduct a cost-constrained ADT plan is a great challenging issue for reliability analysts. By taking the experimental cost into consideration, this paper proposes a semi-analytical procedure to determine the total sample size, testing stress levels, the measurement frequencies, and the number of measurements (within a degradation path) globally under a class of exponential dispersion degradation models. The proposed method is also extended to determine the global planning of a three-level compromise plan. The advantage of the proposed method not only provides better design insights for conducting an ADT plan, but also provides an efficient algorithm to obtain a cost-constrained ADT plan, compared with conventional optimal plans by grid search algorithms.     

Approximations for heavily loaded G/GI/n + GI queues

Motivated by applications to service systems, we develop simple engineering approximation formulas for the steady‐state performance of heavily loaded G/GI/n+GI multiserver queues, which can have non‐Poisson and nonrenewal arrivals and non‐exponential service‐time and patience‐time distributions. The formulas are based on recently established Gaussian many‐server heavy‐traffic limits in the efficiency‐driven (ED) regime, where the traffic intensity is fixed at ρ > 1, but the approximations also apply to systems in the quality‐and‐ED regime, where ρ > 1 but ρ is close to 1. Good performance across a wide range of parameters is obtained by making heuristic refinements, the main one being truncation of the queue length and waiting time approximations to nonnegative values. Simulation experiments show that the proposed approximations are effective for large‐scale queuing systems for a significant range of the traffic intensity ρ and the abandonment rate θ, roughly for ρ > 1.02 and θ > 2.0. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 187–217, 2016     

零故障情况下指数型数据环境因子计算方法

目前,常用的指数型数据环境因子计算公式缺乏广泛的适用性,当被试系统故障数为零时,公式不可用.针对这一问题,曾有过工程上的探讨,但其处理方法不尽合理.在此基础上进行了进一步的改进,在增强了因子计算公式适用性的同时,使其结果更具合理性.     

广义逆指数分布元件的可靠性分析

在II型混合截尾样本下,得到了广义逆指数分布未知参数的最大似然估计。利用最大似然估计的渐近正态性构造了参数的渐近置信区间,运用Lindley's逼近方法和TierneyKadane's逼近方法计算出了参数的Bayes估计。最后,运用Monte-Carlo方法对上述估计方法结果作了模拟比较。     

定数截尾的恒定应力加速寿命试验的优化设计

在指数分布场合下讨论了恒加试验的最优设计问题 ,得到了一系列与步加试验相对应的结果 .这里的最优准则是指正常应力水平下产品对数平均寿命估计的方差的极小化 .